Polling for Spain’s November 29 snap election is consolidating around a right-bloc majority. The 40dB survey published Oct 6 has the PP at 31.6 percent, with the combined PP-Vox vote share at 50 percent. Separate seat projections put the pair at roughly 205 seats in the 350-seat Congress, 29 above the 176-seat absolute majority. A separate survey reported the PP leading the PSOE by 7.6 points.
The campaign backdrop is the congressional rejection of Sanchez’s housing decrees that triggered the snap call. The Sumar “Broad Front” rebrand scheduled October 17 will test whether the fragmented left can coordinate. No major candidate announcement or coalition pact was reported overnight.
A PP-Vox government would end the EU’s last major Socialist administration, with direct implications for EU fiscal coordination. Spanish assets are already pricing the turnover.